This market forecasts the 24-hour price change in BTC/USDT from 00:00 UTC on March 31st, 2026, to 00:00 UTC on March 18th, 2026. This captures short-term momentum in the crypto market based on official Binance data.

1. Trading closes at 23:00 UTC. Market resolves using the 00:00 UTC candle once it completes.
2. The market resolves to "Up" if the closing price of the Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle ending at 00:00 UTC on March 18th, 2026, is strictly greater than the closing price of the 1-minute candle ending at 00:00 UTC on March 17th, 2026.
3. The market resolves to "Down" if the closing price on March 18 is strictly less than the closing price on March 17.
4. If the closing prices are exactly equal, the market resolves 50-50.
5. Prices are sourced from the Binance chart for BTC/USDT (available at binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT) in UTC timezone, using the close of the respective 1-minute candles.
6. Fallback source if Binance data is incomplete or unavailable: CoinGecko historical data for Bitcoin vs. USDT (coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data?vs_currency=usdt), using the end-of-day price snapshot for March 16th, 2026 (as proxy for 00:00 UTC on March 17) and March 17th, 2026 (as proxy for 00:00 UTC on March 18), since CoinGecko snapshots are taken at UTC midnight.
7. If APIs or charts return partial or incomplete data (e.g., an incomplete candlestick), use the last available closing price before the specified timestamp.
8. If there is a discrepancy greater than 0.1% between Binance and CoinGecko data, resolve the outcome by averaging the closing prices from both sources.
9. Intraday prices and trading halts are ignored; only the specified closing prices count.
10. Resolution will occur no later than 12:00 UTC on March 18th, 2026, once data for March 18th, 2026, is available and verified.