This market forecasts the 24-hour price change in BTC/USDT from 16:00 UTC on July 22nd, 2026, to 16:00 UTC on July 23rd, 2026. This captures short-term momentum in the crypto market based on official Binance data.

1. The market resolves to "Up" if the closing price of the Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle ending at 16:00 UTC on July 23rd, 2026, is strictly greater than the closing price of the 1-minute candle ending at 16:00 UTC on July 22nd, 2026.
2. The market resolves to "Down" if the closing price on July 23 is strictly less than the closing price on July 22.
3. If the closing prices are exactly equal, the market resolves 50-50.
4. Prices are sourced from the Binance chart for BTC/USDT (available at binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT) in UTC timezone, using the close of the respective 1-minute candles.
5. Fallback source if Binance data is incomplete or unavailable: CoinGecko historical data for Bitcoin vs. USDT (coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data?vs_currency=usdt), using the end-of-day price snapshot for July 21st, 2026 (as proxy for 16:00 UTC on July 22) and July 22nd, 2026 (as proxy for 16:00 UTC on July 23), since CoinGecko snapshots are taken at UTC midnight.
6. If APIs or charts return partial or incomplete data (e.g., an incomplete candlestick), use the last available closing price before the specified timestamp.
7. If there is a discrepancy greater than 0.1% between Binance and CoinGecko data, resolve the outcome by averaging the closing prices from both sources.
8. Intraday prices and trading halts are ignored; only the specified closing prices count.
9. Resolution will occur no later than 17:00 UTC on July 23rd, 2026, once data for July 23rd, 2026, is available and verified.