This market centers on the WNBA regular-season game between the Minnesota Lynx and the Las Vegas Aces on 16 August 2026, 00:00 UTC, a single-game matchup in which one franchise takes the win and the other absorbs the loss. The matchup is a meaningful focal point because it is the third and final regular-season meeting between two of the league's most established contenders, staged at Michelob ULTRA Arena with playoff seeding tightening across the league in the closing weeks of the season and the season series between them on the line. Traders are assessing the relative likelihood that each team is officially recorded as the winner of the completed game, weighing recent form, the earlier meetings between the two sides, roster availability, and the home-court advantage Las Vegas hold in a nationally televised evening tip-off.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market has exactly two outcomes — Minnesota Lynx and Las Vegas Aces — and resolves to whichever team is officially recorded as the winner of the completed game, initially scheduled for 16 August 2026, 00:00 UTC. There is no draw or tie outcome for the result itself, as overtime is played until a winner is determined; a Tie resolution applies only under the cancellation conditions in Rule 5, in which event all positions settle at $0.50 per share.

2. Definition of "Winner" and "Completed Game": The winning outcome is the team credited with the victory in the official WNBA box score once the game reaches a status of Final or Final/OT. A win counts whether achieved in regulation or overtime, and whether decided by play or by an official forfeit or administrative award; in a forfeit, the team awarded the result by the WNBA is the winner. Individual player statistics and margin of victory do not affect resolution.

3. Official Sources and Evidence: The primary resolution source is the official WNBA scores and results service at https://www.wnba.com/scores for the final game result. Secondary sources for corroboration only: ESPN and Basketball-Reference. The official WNBA record is definitive in the event of any discrepancy and cannot be overridden by secondary reporting.

4. Resolution Timing: The market resolves once the official final result is confirmed on wnba.com, with a resolution buffer of no sooner than 24 hours after the final score is posted. All open positions are locked through to resolution.

5. Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the game is postponed , the market remains open and the resolution deadline extends in line with the league's official rescheduling. If the game is cancelled and not rescheduled within that window, the market resolves to Tie, and in the event of a Tie resolution all positions settle at $0.50 per share. A suspended game that later resumes is settled on its final official result.

6. Protests and Administrative Reviews: Post-game protests, statistical corrections, or administrative reviews do not affect resolution unless the WNBA officially overturns the recorded result. If an official overturn occurs before resolution, the corrected result is used; once the market has resolved, settlement stands.

7. Ambiguities and Disputes: In the event of conflicting result reports between sources, the official WNBA record takes precedence. If the primary source is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of the two secondary sources is used. Any result under active official protest or review remains unresolved until the WNBA issues a final ruling.