What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
About Market
This market centers on which price levels West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil will touch during September 2026, comparing the month's intraday movement against a set of benchmark thresholds positioned both above and below the contract's recent trading range. As the leading North American oil benchmark, WTI's monthly price action serves as a closely watched focal point for global energy markets, where supply decisions from major producers, geopolitical developments, and shifting demand expectations converge to drive volatility. Traders are assessing the likelihood and timing of the front-month futures contract reaching each specified level at any point within the month, turning September's oil-price trajectory into a series of clear, threshold-based outcomes measured against a widely followed commodity benchmark.
1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to "YES" if, at any point from the open of the first eligible trading session of September 2026 (6:00 PM ET on Monday, 31 August 2026) or the time of market creation, whichever is later, through the close of the final eligible trading session of September 2026 (5:00 PM ET on Wednesday, 30 September 2026), any 1-minute candle for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract records a final "Low" price at or below $75.00 per barrel. It resolves to "NO" if no qualifying 1-minute candle Low is recorded within that window, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during that window. There is no TIE outcome in this market. Only prices printed during an applicable trading session of a September 2026 business day are considered. Under the standard CME schedule, the trading session for a given business day begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date and runs to 5:00 PM ET on that business day, with trading open from 6:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00 PM ET Friday and a daily break from 5:00 PM ET to 6:00 PM ET. Holiday and special session hours published by CME Group modify this schedule, including the Labor Day holiday on Monday, 7 September 2026. Prices printed outside an applicable trading session do not count.
2. Definition of the Price and 'Hit': The resolvable instrument is the Active Month (front-month) CME WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract. The Active Month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session, so for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract the next listed month is the Active Month. Per CME contract specifications, a CL contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding its delivery month, or four business days prior if the 25th is not a business day. Under the standard 2026 calendar this places the October 2026 contract's last trading session on Tuesday, 22 September 2026, and the November 2026 contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the session for Friday, 18 September 2026 (6:00 PM ET on Thursday, 17 September 2026). Coverage is continuous across the roll. 'Falls to or below' is satisfied by any intraday 1-minute candle Low at or below $75.00 per barrel. Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding, so a Low of exactly $75.00 counts as reaching the level and any value above $75.00 does not, however close. Settlement prices, closing prices, and prices printed outside an applicable trading session are not used, except that the official CME daily high and low may be used if the Pyth feed is unavailable (see Rule 3).
3. Official Sources and Evidence: The authoritative source for resolution is Pyth, specifically the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp in seconds to the Pyth chart URL using the t= parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low price published by CME Group for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during this window, resolution is based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. Other secondary data providers may be used for temporary reference only and cannot override the Pyth record under any circumstance.
4. Resolution Timing: The window is monitored continuously throughout September 2026. The market resolves YES immediately once a qualifying 1-minute Low at or below $75.00 per barrel is confirmed. If no qualifying Low occurs, it resolves NO no sooner than 24 hours after the close of the final eligible trading session, once the final September prices are confirmed.
5. Ambiguities and Disputes: If any ambiguity arises regarding a candle value or publication timing, the 1-minute candle data published by Pyth takes precedence. Because Pyth publishes no trading calendar or contract specification, questions of session boundaries, business days, holiday hours, last trading day, and Active Month determination are settled by CME Group's official records, trading calendar, and contract definitions. In any remaining unclear case, the outcome is determined strictly using the Pyth-published 1-minute candle Low for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract as defined in these rules.
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
About Market
This market centers on which price levels West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil will touch during September 2026, comparing the month's intraday movement against a set of benchmark thresholds positioned both above and below the contract's recent trading range. As the leading North American oil benchmark, WTI's monthly price action serves as a closely watched focal point for global energy markets, where supply decisions from major producers, geopolitical developments, and shifting demand expectations converge to drive volatility. Traders are assessing the likelihood and timing of the front-month futures contract reaching each specified level at any point within the month, turning September's oil-price trajectory into a series of clear, threshold-based outcomes measured against a widely followed commodity benchmark.
1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to "YES" if, at any point from the open of the first eligible trading session of September 2026 (6:00 PM ET on Monday, 31 August 2026) or the time of market creation, whichever is later, through the close of the final eligible trading session of September 2026 (5:00 PM ET on Wednesday, 30 September 2026), any 1-minute candle for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract records a final "Low" price at or below $75.00 per barrel. It resolves to "NO" if no qualifying 1-minute candle Low is recorded within that window, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during that window. There is no TIE outcome in this market. Only prices printed during an applicable trading session of a September 2026 business day are considered. Under the standard CME schedule, the trading session for a given business day begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date and runs to 5:00 PM ET on that business day, with trading open from 6:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00 PM ET Friday and a daily break from 5:00 PM ET to 6:00 PM ET. Holiday and special session hours published by CME Group modify this schedule, including the Labor Day holiday on Monday, 7 September 2026. Prices printed outside an applicable trading session do not count.
2. Definition of the Price and 'Hit': The resolvable instrument is the Active Month (front-month) CME WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract. The Active Month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session, so for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract the next listed month is the Active Month. Per CME contract specifications, a CL contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding its delivery month, or four business days prior if the 25th is not a business day. Under the standard 2026 calendar this places the October 2026 contract's last trading session on Tuesday, 22 September 2026, and the November 2026 contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the session for Friday, 18 September 2026 (6:00 PM ET on Thursday, 17 September 2026). Coverage is continuous across the roll. 'Falls to or below' is satisfied by any intraday 1-minute candle Low at or below $75.00 per barrel. Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding, so a Low of exactly $75.00 counts as reaching the level and any value above $75.00 does not, however close. Settlement prices, closing prices, and prices printed outside an applicable trading session are not used, except that the official CME daily high and low may be used if the Pyth feed is unavailable (see Rule 3).
3. Official Sources and Evidence: The authoritative source for resolution is Pyth, specifically the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp in seconds to the Pyth chart URL using the t= parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low price published by CME Group for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during this window, resolution is based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. Other secondary data providers may be used for temporary reference only and cannot override the Pyth record under any circumstance.
4. Resolution Timing: The window is monitored continuously throughout September 2026. The market resolves YES immediately once a qualifying 1-minute Low at or below $75.00 per barrel is confirmed. If no qualifying Low occurs, it resolves NO no sooner than 24 hours after the close of the final eligible trading session, once the final September prices are confirmed.
5. Ambiguities and Disputes: If any ambiguity arises regarding a candle value or publication timing, the 1-minute candle data published by Pyth takes precedence. Because Pyth publishes no trading calendar or contract specification, questions of session boundaries, business days, holiday hours, last trading day, and Active Month determination are settled by CME Group's official records, trading calendar, and contract definitions. In any remaining unclear case, the outcome is determined strictly using the Pyth-published 1-minute candle Low for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract as defined in these rules.
