This market centers on the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final knockout fixture between England and Argentina at Atlanta Stadium (Mercedes-Benz Stadium), with attention focused on England's own goal tally across the regulation ninety minutes plus stoppage time — regardless of the match result. The tie is a compelling focal point because it is a single-elimination contest that must produce a place in the final, renewing one of football's most storied rivalries between an England side chasing a first men's World Cup crown since 1966 and a reigning-champion Argentina. Traders are assessing whether England finish counted match time above the one-goal line, exactly on it, or below it, weighing England's forward depth against Argentina's defensive organisation and the tactical restraint typical of World Cup semi-finals.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market is a team-total line of exactly 1 goal for England, with a push. The market resolves YES (Over) if England score 2 or more goals in counted match time. It resolves NO (Under) if England score 0 goals in counted match time. It resolves Tie if England score exactly 1 goal in counted match time — the line is landed on and the market pushes. The market also resolves to Tie under the postponement and cancellation conditions in Rule 5. In the event of any Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share. Only England's goals count; goals scored by Argentina are irrelevant to this market, as is the winner of the tie. Counted match time is the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time only; goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout are excluded, even though this is a knockout fixture.

2. Definition of "Goals Scored by England": England's total is the number of goals officially credited to England at the conclusion of counted match time, defined as the 90 minutes of normal play plus referee-added stoppage time. An own goal scored by an Argentina player is credited to the benefiting (attacking) team and therefore COUNTS toward England's total for the purposes of this market; an own goal scored by an England player counts toward Argentina's total and does NOT count toward England's. Penalty kicks converted by England during normal play count toward England's total; goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout do NOT count. The market resolves on England's officially credited total at the referee's final whistle of the second half.

3. Official Sources and Evidence: Primary source: the Sportmonks API (https://www.sportmonks.com/) for the full-time result and goalscorer data. Secondary sources for corroboration only: the official 2026 FIFA World Cup match record published by FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup), ESPN, and FlashScore. The Sportmonks record is the definitive record in the event of any discrepancy.

4. Resolution Timing: The market resolves no sooner than 1 hour after the official full-time result — covering the 90 minutes plus stoppage time — is posted on the Sportmonks API. Trading may already be closed or paused under Rule 7; all open positions are locked through to resolution.

5. Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed, suspended, cancelled, or abandoned before an official full-time result is reached, the market remains open during a 24-hour waiting period to allow the fixture to be completed. If no eligible completed full-time result exists more than 24 hours past the scheduled kickoff, the market resolves to Tie, and all positions settle at $0.50 per share. Partial scores from an abandoned match are ignored unless the fixture is officially resumed and completed within the waiting window, in which case England's final counted-time total is used.

6. Ambiguities and Disputes: In the event of conflicting scoreline or goalscorer reports between sources, the Sportmonks record takes precedence, including its attribution of goals and own goals. If the primary Sportmonks source is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of at least two secondary sources is used. VAR-confirmed goals follow the official match record. Any result under active official protest or review remains unresolved until FIFA issues a final ruling.

7. Trading Window and Pause: Trading remains open throughout the match, from kickoff until the referee signals the end of the second half of regulation. The YES (Over) outcome may be locked the moment England's tally reaches 2, because a goal total cannot decrease; the NO (Under) outcome cannot be locked before the end of counted play, since England can still score in the remaining regulation and stoppage time; a Tie cannot be locked early either, since a second England goal remains possible while play continues. At the end of counted play England's total is fixed and all open positions are locked through to resolution. If the tie proceeds to extra time or a penalty shootout, those periods do not affect this market and trading remains locked pending resolution.