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ETH Up or Down on May 19?

About Market

MARKET SUMMARY

This market forecasts the 24-hour price change in ETH/USDT from 00:00 UTC on May 19th, 2026, to 00:00 UTC on May 20th, 2026. This captures short-term momentum in the crypto market based on official Binance data.

RULES
  1. Trading closes at 23:00 UTC. Market resolves using the 00:00 UTC candle once it completes.
  2. The market resolves to "Up" if the closing price of the Binance 1-minute ETH/USDT candle ending at 00:00 UTC on May 20th, 2026, is strictly greater than the closing price of the 1-minute candle ending at 00:00 UTC on May 19th, 2026.
  3. The market resolves to "Down" if the closing price on May 20 is strictly less than the closing price on May 19.
  4. If the closing prices are exactly equal, the market resolves 50-50.
  5. Prices are sourced from the Binance chart for ETH/USDT (available at binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT) in UTC timezone, using the close of the respective 1-minute candles.
  6. Fallback source if Binance data is incomplete or unavailable: CoinGecko historical data for Ethereum vs. USDT (coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum/historical_data?vs_currency=usdt), using the end-of-day price snapshot for May 18th, 2026 (as proxy for 00:00 UTC on May 19) and May 19th, 2026 (as proxy for 00:00 UTC on May 20), since CoinGecko snapshots are taken at UTC midnight.
  7. If APIs or charts return partial or incomplete data (e.g., an incomplete candlestick), use the last available closing price before the specified timestamp.
  8. If there is a discrepancy greater than 0.1% between Binance and CoinGecko data, resolve the outcome by averaging the closing prices from both sources.
  9. Intraday prices and trading halts are ignored; only the specified closing prices count.
  10. Resolution will occur no later than 12:00 UTC on May 20th, 2026, once data for May 20th, 2026, is available and verified.