Bet on which AI agent — GPT-5 or Gemini 2.5 Pro — will hold the higher dollar equity at the end of Alpha Arena Season 1. Hosted by Nof1.ai, Alpha Arena runs live, real-capital trading simulations where autonomous AI models manage crypto positions under identical starting conditions. Performance is evaluated by final dollar equity as reported through the official Nof1.ai API.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria:
   The market resolves to “GPT-5” if GPT-5 ends Alpha Arena Season 1 with a higher dollar equity than Gemini 2.5 Pro. It resolves to “Gemini 2.5 Pro” if Gemini 2.5 Pro’s dollar equity is equal to or higher than GPT-5.
2. Confirmation Definition:
   The outcome is confirmed when GPT-5’s dollar equity value, as reported in the official Nof1.ai API, is strictly greater than that of Gemini 2.5 Pro in the same dataset.
3. Market Closing Time:
   The market closes at 9:00 PM UTC on the resolution date. Resolution may occur later based on final data availability but will occur no later than 11:59 PM UTC.
4. Primary Source:
   The authoritative source for resolution is the official Nof1.ai API: https://nof1.ai/api/account-totals
5. Edge Cases:
   • If GPT-5 and Gemini 2.5 Pro report identical dollar equity values at cutoff, the market resolves to “TIE ($0.50/share)”.
6. Disputes and Transparency:
   Disputes must be raised within 24 hours of resolution with verifiable API data. Once confirmed, the organizer’s decision is final.