How many 5.5 or above earthquakes April 21 - April 27 in Asia region?
About Market
This market centers on the total number of earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurring in the Asia region between April 21 and April 27, positioning that full observation window as the reference period against which seismic activity is measured. The defined date range serves as a fixed temporal milestone that captures all qualifying seismic events within a continuous interval, turning the cumulative count across those days into the key benchmark. Traders are assessing whether the number of qualifying earthquakes recorded during this period will match a specific total relative to that defined timeframe.
- Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if exactly zero earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occur in Asia between April 21 and 23:59 UTC April 27, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if one or more qualifying earthquakes are recorded within that timeframe. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
- Definition of Qualifying Earthquake: A qualifying earthquake is any seismic event recorded with a magnitude of 5.5 or greater whose epicenter is located within the geographic boundaries of Asia as classified by the resolution source.
- Official Sources and Evidence: The primary resolution source is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake database. Official USGS records of event time, magnitude, and location are determinative. Secondary scientific or governmental seismic databases may be used for corroboration but cannot override USGS records.
- Resolution Timing: This market will not resolve until after 23:59 UTC April 27, 2026. If a qualifying earthquake is recorded on the final day of the observation window, resolution may be delayed for up to 24 hours to allow magnitude or classification revisions. After that period, resolution will occur using the most recent USGS data.
- Handling Revisions, Delays, and Data Updates: If the USGS later revises an earthquake’s magnitude below 5.5 or updates its location to outside Asia, that event will not count. If magnitude is revised upward to 5.5 or higher within the 24-hour revision window, it will count.
- Ambiguities and Disputes: In cases of conflicting seismic records, USGS published data takes precedence. If classification uncertainties remain, determinations will be made based on the most recent official USGS dataset available after the revision window.
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes April 21 - April 27 in Asia region?
About Market
This market centers on the total number of earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurring in the Asia region between April 21 and April 27, positioning that full observation window as the reference period against which seismic activity is measured. The defined date range serves as a fixed temporal milestone that captures all qualifying seismic events within a continuous interval, turning the cumulative count across those days into the key benchmark. Traders are assessing whether the number of qualifying earthquakes recorded during this period will match a specific total relative to that defined timeframe.
- Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if exactly zero earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occur in Asia between April 21 and 23:59 UTC April 27, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if one or more qualifying earthquakes are recorded within that timeframe. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
- Definition of Qualifying Earthquake: A qualifying earthquake is any seismic event recorded with a magnitude of 5.5 or greater whose epicenter is located within the geographic boundaries of Asia as classified by the resolution source.
- Official Sources and Evidence: The primary resolution source is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake database. Official USGS records of event time, magnitude, and location are determinative. Secondary scientific or governmental seismic databases may be used for corroboration but cannot override USGS records.
- Resolution Timing: This market will not resolve until after 23:59 UTC April 27, 2026. If a qualifying earthquake is recorded on the final day of the observation window, resolution may be delayed for up to 24 hours to allow magnitude or classification revisions. After that period, resolution will occur using the most recent USGS data.
- Handling Revisions, Delays, and Data Updates: If the USGS later revises an earthquake’s magnitude below 5.5 or updates its location to outside Asia, that event will not count. If magnitude is revised upward to 5.5 or higher within the 24-hour revision window, it will count.
- Ambiguities and Disputes: In cases of conflicting seismic records, USGS published data takes precedence. If classification uncertainties remain, determinations will be made based on the most recent official USGS dataset available after the revision window.
