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Jordan vs Argentina over or under 3 total goals scored?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on the 2026 FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture between Jordan and Argentina, with attention focused on how many goals the two teams combine to score across the full ninety minutes of play. The pairing is a notable focal point because it sets a compact, defensively resolute Jordanian side that sits deep and looks to frustrate against a fluent, attack-laden Argentine team that commands possession and carries match-winning quality across the front line, a contrast in approach that shapes expectations for how open and high-scoring the encounter becomes. Traders are assessing the likelihood that the match yields a healthy combined goal count rather than a controlled, low-scoring affair, weighing both sides' attacking intent against their defensive organisation and the typical scoring patterns of World Cup group-stage encounters.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market resolves YES (Over) if the combined number of goals scored by both teams is more than three — that is, the combined tally is 4 or more. It resolves NO (Under) if the combined total is fewer than three (0, 1, or 2). It resolves Tie if the combined total is exactly three, in which case all positions settle at $0.50 per share. A Tie also applies under the postponement and cancellation conditions in Rule 5.

  2. Definition of "Total Goals Scored": The total is the sum of all goals — including own goals — credited to either Jordan or Argentina in the official match record over regulation time, defined as the 90 minutes of normal play plus any referee-added stoppage time in both halves, ending the moment the referee signals full-time. An own goal counts toward the team it is officially awarded to (the beneficiary team) and is included in the combined total regardless of which team it benefits. As this is a group-stage fixture, no extra time or penalty shootout is played; only goals scored within regulation time count toward this market.

  3. Official Sources and Evidence: Primary source: Official 2026 FIFA World Cup match results published by FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup) for the full-time result and goalscorer data. Secondary sources for corroboration only: Liquipedia and official team social media. The official FIFA match record is the definitive record in the event of any discrepancy.

  4. Resolution Timing: The market resolves no sooner than 1 hour after the official full-time result is posted by FIFA. Trading may already be closed or paused under Rule 7; all open positions are locked through to resolution.

  5. Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed, suspended, cancelled, or abandoned before full-time, the market remains open during a 24-hour waiting period to allow the fixture to be completed. If no eligible completed full-time result exists more than 24 hours past the scheduled kickoff, the market resolves to Tie, and all positions settle at $0.50 per share. Partial scores from an abandoned match are ignored unless the fixture is officially resumed and completed within the waiting window, in which case the final regulation-time result is used.

  6. Ambiguities and Disputes: In the event of conflicting scoreline reports between sources, the official FIFA match record takes precedence. If the primary FIFA source is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of at least two secondary sources is used. Any result under active official protest or review remains unresolved until FIFA issues a final ruling.

  7. Trading Window and Pause: Trading remains open throughout the match, from kickoff until the referee signals full-time. Because the combined goal total can only rise, the YES outcome (Over, more than three goals) becomes irreversibly determined the moment the fourth goal of the match is scored; at that instant trading is paused immediately and all open positions are locked through to resolution. Neither the NO outcome (Under, fewer than three goals) nor the Tie outcome (exactly three goals) can be locked before full-time: once the third goal is scored the NO outcome is eliminated, but the result remains undetermined between Tie and YES until the final whistle, since a further goal always remains possible. Trading therefore continues to full-time and then locks pending resolution.