New Delhi Highest Temperature (°C) — May 16, 2026
About Market
This market centers on the actual high temperature (°C) in New Delhi on May 16, 2026, as recorded by the Weather Underground daily history data for that specific date. New Delhi's peak summer heat in May regularly positions the city among the hottest major urban centres in the world, making its daily high temperature a closely followed meteorological data point across each day of the month. Traders are evaluating the likelihood of the official actual high temperature landing within four distinct bands — 40°C and above, exactly 39°C, exactly 38°C, or 37°C and below — based solely on the verified recorded figure published for May 11.
1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to "YES" if the actual recorded high temperature in New Delhi on May 16 is 40°C or higher, as published on the official source once data is finalized. It resolves to "NO" if the recorded high temperature is lower than 40°C. It resolves to "Tie" if no actual recorded figure is ever finalized and published; in the event of a Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share.
2. Definition of Actual High Temperature: This market resolves to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Safdarjung Airport Station (VIDD) in degrees Celsius on May 16. The resolution source is Weather Underground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on that day by the Safdarjung Airport Station, once information is finalized, available at: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/new-delhi/VIDD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting to °C. The resolution source measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (e.g., 39°C); this is the level of precision used when resolving the market. Forecast, projected, or estimated figures do not count — only the confirmed actual high temperature is used.
3. Official Sources and Evidence: The sole source for resolution is Weather Underground Daily History for the Safdarjung Airport Station (VIDD): https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/new-delhi/VIDD. No other source may be substituted. If the page displays both forecast and actual columns, only the actual high temperature value is used.
4. Resolution Timing: This market cannot resolve until all data for May 16 has been finalized on the Weather Underground VIDD history page. If data has not been finalized by the market end date, the market remains open and resolves once the data is finalized and published. Resolution occurs as soon as reasonably practical after finalization is confirmed.
5. Handling Delays and Missing Data: If Weather Underground permanently fails to publish a finalized actual high temperature for May 16 — due to station outage, data removal, or indefinite delay — the market resolves to "Tie." Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for May 16 will not be considered for this market's resolution.
6. Ambiguities and Disputes: If the Weather Underground page displays conflicting figures, the most recently published actual high temperature value on the VIDD history page prior to finalization takes precedence. Forecast values, feels-like figures, and dew point readings are explicitly excluded and cannot be used for resolution under any circumstance.
New Delhi Highest Temperature (°C) — May 16, 2026
About Market
This market centers on the actual high temperature (°C) in New Delhi on May 16, 2026, as recorded by the Weather Underground daily history data for that specific date. New Delhi's peak summer heat in May regularly positions the city among the hottest major urban centres in the world, making its daily high temperature a closely followed meteorological data point across each day of the month. Traders are evaluating the likelihood of the official actual high temperature landing within four distinct bands — 40°C and above, exactly 39°C, exactly 38°C, or 37°C and below — based solely on the verified recorded figure published for May 11.
1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to "YES" if the actual recorded high temperature in New Delhi on May 16 is 40°C or higher, as published on the official source once data is finalized. It resolves to "NO" if the recorded high temperature is lower than 40°C. It resolves to "Tie" if no actual recorded figure is ever finalized and published; in the event of a Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share.
2. Definition of Actual High Temperature: This market resolves to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Safdarjung Airport Station (VIDD) in degrees Celsius on May 16. The resolution source is Weather Underground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on that day by the Safdarjung Airport Station, once information is finalized, available at: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/new-delhi/VIDD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting to °C. The resolution source measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (e.g., 39°C); this is the level of precision used when resolving the market. Forecast, projected, or estimated figures do not count — only the confirmed actual high temperature is used.
3. Official Sources and Evidence: The sole source for resolution is Weather Underground Daily History for the Safdarjung Airport Station (VIDD): https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/new-delhi/VIDD. No other source may be substituted. If the page displays both forecast and actual columns, only the actual high temperature value is used.
4. Resolution Timing: This market cannot resolve until all data for May 16 has been finalized on the Weather Underground VIDD history page. If data has not been finalized by the market end date, the market remains open and resolves once the data is finalized and published. Resolution occurs as soon as reasonably practical after finalization is confirmed.
5. Handling Delays and Missing Data: If Weather Underground permanently fails to publish a finalized actual high temperature for May 16 — due to station outage, data removal, or indefinite delay — the market resolves to "Tie." Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for May 16 will not be considered for this market's resolution.
6. Ambiguities and Disputes: If the Weather Underground page displays conflicting figures, the most recently published actual high temperature value on the VIDD history page prior to finalization takes precedence. Forecast values, feels-like figures, and dew point readings are explicitly excluded and cannot be used for resolution under any circumstance.
