This market forecasts the 24-hour price change in POL/USDT from 00:00 UTC on July 2nd, 2026, to 00:00 UTC on July 3rd, 2026. This captures short-term momentum in the crypto market based on official Binance data.

1. Trading closes at 23:00 UTC. Market resolves using the 00:00 UTC candle once it completes.
2. The market resolves to "Up" if the closing price of the Binance 1-minute POL/USDT candle ending at 00:00 UTC on July 3rd, 2026, is strictly greater than the closing price of the 1-minute candle ending at 00:00 UTC on July 2nd, 2026.
3. The market resolves to "Down" if the closing price on July 3 is strictly less than the closing price on July 2.
4. If the closing prices are exactly equal, the market resolves 50-50.
5. Prices are sourced from the Binance chart for POL/USDT (available at binance.com/en/trade/POL_USDT) in UTC timezone, using the close of the respective 1-minute candles.
6. Fallback source if Binance data is incomplete or unavailable: CoinGecko historical data for Polygon Ecosystem Token vs. USDT (coingecko.com/en/coins/polygon-ecosystem-token/historical_data?vs_currency=usdt), using the end-of-day price snapshot for July 1st, 2026 (as proxy for 00:00 UTC on July 2) and July 2nd, 2026 (as proxy for 00:00 UTC on July 3), since CoinGecko snapshots are taken at UTC midnight.
7. If APIs or charts return partial or incomplete data (e.g., an incomplete candlestick), use the last available closing price before the specified timestamp.
8. If there is a discrepancy greater than 0.1% between Binance and CoinGecko data, resolve the outcome by averaging the closing prices from both sources.
9. Intraday prices and trading halts are ignored; only the specified closing prices count.
10. Resolution will occur no later than 12:00 UTC on July 3rd, 2026, once data for July 3rd, 2026, is available and verified.