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What will happen before GTA VI?

About Market

Market Summary

This market group covers four independent sub-markets, each asking whether a specific major event will occur before the official U.S. release of Grand Theft Auto VI. Each sub-market resolves YES if its event is confirmed before November 18, 2026, and NO if it has not occurred by that date. There is no Tie outcome; any event that fails to happen before the deadline resolves NO. Each sub-market resolves independently — the outcome of one has no bearing on the resolution of any other.

Rules
  1. 1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: Resolves YES if Bitcoin's spot price reaches or exceeds $90,000 USD at any point before November 18, 2026, as recorded on the Binance BTC/USDT market. Resolves NO if Bitcoin has not reached $90,000 by that date.

  2. Definition of "$90,000 Reclaimed": A single confirmed 1-minute candle close at or above $90,000 USD on the Binance BTC/USDT chart qualifies. The threshold need only be met on one candle close — it does not need to be sustained. The price must reflect a genuine market transaction, not a flash crash, data error, or manipulation event later officially acknowledged by Binance.

  3. Official Sources and Evidence: Prices are sourced exclusively from the Binance BTC/USDT chart (binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT) in UTC timezone, using 1-minute candle closes. If a candle is incomplete at the relevant timestamp, the last available confirmed closing price is used.

  4. Ambiguities and Disputes: In the event of a disputed price — including exchange outages, API errors, or alleged manipulation — resolution is delayed until Binance issues an official statement. If no statement is issued within 72 hours, a consensus of closing prices across Coinbase, Kraken, and OKX at the relevant timestamp is used as the fallback.