What will happen before GTA VI?
About Market
This market group covers four independent sub-markets, each asking whether a specific major event will occur before the official U.S. release of Grand Theft Auto VI. Each sub-market resolves YES if its event is confirmed before November 18, 2026, and NO if it has not occurred by that date. There is no Tie outcome; any event that fails to happen before the deadline resolves NO. Each sub-market resolves independently — the outcome of one has no bearing on the resolution of any other.
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1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: Resolves YES if Bitcoin's spot price reaches or exceeds $90,000 USD at any point before November 18, 2026, as recorded on the Binance BTC/USDT market. Resolves NO if Bitcoin has not reached $90,000 by that date.
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Definition of "$90,000 Reclaimed": A single confirmed 1-minute candle close at or above $90,000 USD on the Binance BTC/USDT chart qualifies. The threshold need only be met on one candle close — it does not need to be sustained. The price must reflect a genuine market transaction, not a flash crash, data error, or manipulation event later officially acknowledged by Binance.
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Official Sources and Evidence: Prices are sourced exclusively from the Binance BTC/USDT chart (binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT) in UTC timezone, using 1-minute candle closes. If a candle is incomplete at the relevant timestamp, the last available confirmed closing price is used.
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Ambiguities and Disputes: In the event of a disputed price — including exchange outages, API errors, or alleged manipulation — resolution is delayed until Binance issues an official statement. If no statement is issued within 72 hours, a consensus of closing prices across Coinbase, Kraken, and OKX at the relevant timestamp is used as the fallback.
What will happen before GTA VI?
About Market
This market group covers four independent sub-markets, each asking whether a specific major event will occur before the official U.S. release of Grand Theft Auto VI. Each sub-market resolves YES if its event is confirmed before November 18, 2026, and NO if it has not occurred by that date. There is no Tie outcome; any event that fails to happen before the deadline resolves NO. Each sub-market resolves independently — the outcome of one has no bearing on the resolution of any other.
-
1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: Resolves YES if Bitcoin's spot price reaches or exceeds $90,000 USD at any point before November 18, 2026, as recorded on the Binance BTC/USDT market. Resolves NO if Bitcoin has not reached $90,000 by that date.
-
Definition of "$90,000 Reclaimed": A single confirmed 1-minute candle close at or above $90,000 USD on the Binance BTC/USDT chart qualifies. The threshold need only be met on one candle close — it does not need to be sustained. The price must reflect a genuine market transaction, not a flash crash, data error, or manipulation event later officially acknowledged by Binance.
-
Official Sources and Evidence: Prices are sourced exclusively from the Binance BTC/USDT chart (binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT) in UTC timezone, using 1-minute candle closes. If a candle is incomplete at the relevant timestamp, the last available confirmed closing price is used.
-
Ambiguities and Disputes: In the event of a disputed price — including exchange outages, API errors, or alleged manipulation — resolution is delayed until Binance issues an official statement. If no statement is issued within 72 hours, a consensus of closing prices across Coinbase, Kraken, and OKX at the relevant timestamp is used as the fallback.
