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When will KAT TGE?

About Market

Market Summary

The market focuses on the official unlock or transferability of KAT tokens, which is currently scheduled no later than end of February 2026, but could happen earlier via community governance or announcements.

Rules
  1. The outcome is Yes if Katana's KAT tokens become transferable (i.e., unlocked for peer-to-peer transfers, wallet movements, and potential exchange trading without lock-up restrictions) on or before 23:59:59 UTC on November 31, 2025. This requires both an official announcement confirming the unlock and on-chain verification that transfers are enabled.
  2. The outcome is No if the tokens remain non-transferable or locked beyond that date, or if no unlock occurs by the deadline, even if announced but not implemented.
  3. TGE Definition: For this market, TGE is specifically the event where KAT token transfer restrictions are lifted network-wide, allowing holders to freely send, receive, or trade KAT. This does not include initial distribution or airdrops (which occurred in June 2025) but focuses on post-lockup transferability. Partial unlocks (e.g., for specific users or programs) do not qualify; it must be a general unlock for all distributed tokens.
  4. Primary Data Sources: Official announcements from the Katana Foundation via their verified X account (@katana), the Polygon blog (blog.polygon.technology), or any official Katana website/domain if launched. On-chain verification via the Katana blockchain explorer (if available) or Polygon-related tools to confirm transfer functionality (e.g., successful non-zero KAT transfers between unrelated wallets post-unlock).
  5. Secondary Sources for Verification: If primary sources are unclear or delayed, use reputable crypto news outlets such as The Block, CoinDesk, CoinTelegraph, or Decrypt for corroboration. Community discussions on X or Reddit may inform but are not authoritative without official backing.
  6. Eligible Resolution Timing: The market may resolve early to Yes if an unlock is officially announced and verified on-chain before November 31, 2025. If no unlock occurs, final resolution to No happens after the deadline, no later than 23:59 UTC on December 15, 2026, allowing time for data availability and verification.
  7. Edge Cases and Discrepancies: If an unlock is announced but technical issues delay implementation beyond the deadline, resolve to No. If governance votes for an early unlock (e.g., via vKAT DAO), it qualifies only if effective by the deadline. In case of conflicting reports (e.g., >10% discrepancy in dates), the primary sources take precedence. Screenshots, unverified rumors, or third-party claims (e.g., from X users) do not qualify without official corroboration. Chain forks or migrations resolve to the primary chain as recognized by the Katana Foundation.