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Will BTC hit $65,000 or $75,000 first by end of February?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on whether Bitcoin will reach $65,000 or $75,000 first, framing a race between two key price thresholds. The question reflects expectations around near-term volatility and market direction, as Bitcoin’s price is influenced by factors such as macroeconomic conditions, investor risk appetite, regulatory developments, and flows into crypto-related investment products. Traders are weighing whether downside pressure or bullish momentum is more likely to dominate, determining which of these two price levels

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria:
    This market resolves to “YES” if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches $65,000 before it reaches $75,000 at any time on or before 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if the price of Bitcoin reaches $75,000 before $65,000 within the same period, or if neither price level is reached by the cutoff. There is no TIE outcome in this market; it resolves only to YES or NO.
  2. Definition of “Reaches” and Applicable Price:
    For the purposes of this market, Bitcoin is considered to have “reached” $65,000 if the closing price of an eligible price candle is equal to or greater than $65,000. Intraday highs, wicks, or momentary trades that are not reflected in a qualifying closing price do not count.
  3. Price Source and Time Standard:
    The primary price source is the BTC/USDT market on Binance, using prices expressed in UTC time. The relevant price is the close of the earliest 1-minute candle that first satisfies the $65,000 condition.
  4. Fallback Sources and Incomplete Data:
    If Binance data is unavailable or incomplete at the relevant time, a reputable secondary source (such as CoinGecko) may be used to corroborate the order in which the price levels were first reached. If a candlestick is incomplete, the last fully completed closing price before the timestamp is used.
  5. Resolution Timing:
    The market may resolve immediately once it is clear that $65,000 has been reached before $75,000 within the eligible window. If this does not occur, final resolution to “NO” will happen as soon as reasonably practical after 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2026.
  6. Ambiguities and Disputes:
    In cases of conflicting timestamps or data discrepancies, priority is given to Binance’s published candle data, followed by corroboration from secondary sources. If ambiguity remains, resolution is determined based on what a reasonable, well-informed observer would conclude from the available price data.