Will Bitcoin reclaim $75k by the end of April?
About Market
This market centers on whether the price of Bitcoin can reach a specified price threshold before the end-of-month cutoff, with the close of the observation period serving as the decisive milestone. The end of the month functions as a temporal boundary that defines the timeframe within which qualifying price movements are considered relevant, separating valid threshold events from those occurring outside the measurement window. Traders are assessing whether Bitcoin’s market dynamics will push its price to that level relative to the milestone, evaluating volatility, macroeconomic signals, liquidity conditions, and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment to determine whether the threshold will be reached before the cutoff.
- Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if the BTC/USDT price on Binance is recorded as equal to or greater than 75,000 USDT at any point on or before 23:59 UTC April 30, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if no such qualifying price is recorded by that deadline. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
- Definition of Qualifying Price: A qualifying price occurs when an executed trade on the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance reaches or exceeds 75,000 USDT. Intraday price movements count; the price does not need to close at or remain above the threshold.
- Official Sources and Evidence: The primary source for resolution is the BTC/USDT price data from Binance. Secondary sources such as other major exchanges or aggregators may be used only for corroboration of timing and plausibility, but cannot override Binance data unless Binance data is clearly unavailable or erroneous.
- Handling Data Anomalies: Isolated trades or price spikes that are clearly inconsistent with surrounding market activity (e.g., obvious errors or illiquid prints) may be disregarded. In such cases, consistent pricing across Binance order book activity and trade history will be used to determine validity.
- Resolution Timing: The market will be reviewed continuously and resolved as soon as reasonably practical after 23:59 UTC April 30, 2026, once it is clear whether a qualifying trade occurred within the specified timeframe.
- Ambiguities and Disputes: In cases of conflicting or ambiguous data, priority is given to Binance’s official trade history and price records. If uncertainty remains, the resolver will determine the outcome based on the most reliable and internally consistent Binance data available for the relevant period.
Will Bitcoin reclaim $75k by the end of April?
About Market
This market centers on whether the price of Bitcoin can reach a specified price threshold before the end-of-month cutoff, with the close of the observation period serving as the decisive milestone. The end of the month functions as a temporal boundary that defines the timeframe within which qualifying price movements are considered relevant, separating valid threshold events from those occurring outside the measurement window. Traders are assessing whether Bitcoin’s market dynamics will push its price to that level relative to the milestone, evaluating volatility, macroeconomic signals, liquidity conditions, and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment to determine whether the threshold will be reached before the cutoff.
- Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if the BTC/USDT price on Binance is recorded as equal to or greater than 75,000 USDT at any point on or before 23:59 UTC April 30, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if no such qualifying price is recorded by that deadline. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
- Definition of Qualifying Price: A qualifying price occurs when an executed trade on the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance reaches or exceeds 75,000 USDT. Intraday price movements count; the price does not need to close at or remain above the threshold.
- Official Sources and Evidence: The primary source for resolution is the BTC/USDT price data from Binance. Secondary sources such as other major exchanges or aggregators may be used only for corroboration of timing and plausibility, but cannot override Binance data unless Binance data is clearly unavailable or erroneous.
- Handling Data Anomalies: Isolated trades or price spikes that are clearly inconsistent with surrounding market activity (e.g., obvious errors or illiquid prints) may be disregarded. In such cases, consistent pricing across Binance order book activity and trade history will be used to determine validity.
- Resolution Timing: The market will be reviewed continuously and resolved as soon as reasonably practical after 23:59 UTC April 30, 2026, once it is clear whether a qualifying trade occurred within the specified timeframe.
- Ambiguities and Disputes: In cases of conflicting or ambiguous data, priority is given to Binance’s official trade history and price records. If uncertainty remains, the resolver will determine the outcome based on the most reliable and internally consistent Binance data available for the relevant period.
