Will Brazil or Japan score the last goal?
About Market
This market centers on which side will score the final goal in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 fixture between Brazil and Japan at NRG Stadium in Houston, framing the closing moment of the scoring as the outcome in focus. The question is a compelling focal point because the last goal in a tight single-elimination knockout often arrives late and can swing the complexion of the tie, making the identity of the final scorer a meaningful marker of which side finished the stronger over the ninety minutes. Traders are assessing the relative likelihood that Brazil or Japan registers the closing goal, weighing each side's attacking threat, finishing tendencies, and game-state management against the chance that the contest stays goalless.
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Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market has three outcomes — Brazil, Japan, and Tie. It resolves to Brazil if the final goal of the match (as defined in Rule 2) is credited to Brazil, and to Japan if the final goal is credited to Japan. It resolves to Tie if no goals are scored in regulation (a 0-0 scoreline at the end of regulation time); in the event of a Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share.
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Definition of "Last Goal": "The match" means the 90 minutes of regulation play plus any added stoppage time only; extra time and any penalty shootout are excluded. The last goal is the chronologically final goal credited in the official match record within that period. An own goal counts toward the opposing team's score, so the last goal is credited to the team that benefits from it regardless of which player put the ball into the net. A goal scored from a penalty kick taken during regulation counts; penalty-shootout goals are not goals for this market.
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Official Sources and Evidence: Primary source: the official FIFA match report and statistics (fifa.com), corroborated by the Sportmonks (https://www.sportmonks.com/). Secondary sources for corroboration: ESPN, BBC Sport, Soccerway, and FlashScore. The official FIFA match report is the definitive record in the event of any discrepancy.
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Resolution Timing: The market resolves no sooner than 3 hours after the official final result and goal record are confirmed on the listed sources. Trading closes at the market end date (EndDate) and all open positions are locked through to resolution.
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Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed, suspended, or abandoned before regulation is completed, the market remains open while the fixture is given the chance to be completed within the tournament schedule (postponements accommodated up to 30 days past the scheduled start). If no eligible completed regulation result exists after the 12-hour waiting period and the fixture is not subsequently completed, or the match is cancelled, the market resolves to Tie and all positions settle at $0.50 per share. Partial scores from an abandoned match are ignored unless the fixture is officially resumed and completed.
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Ambiguities and Disputes: Where reports of the goal sequence or scorers conflict, the official FIFA match report takes precedence, corroborated by the Highlightly.net API. If the primary source is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of at least two secondary sources is used. Any goal under active official review (including VAR adjudication) is resolved according to the final official record.
Will Brazil or Japan score the last goal?
About Market
This market centers on which side will score the final goal in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 fixture between Brazil and Japan at NRG Stadium in Houston, framing the closing moment of the scoring as the outcome in focus. The question is a compelling focal point because the last goal in a tight single-elimination knockout often arrives late and can swing the complexion of the tie, making the identity of the final scorer a meaningful marker of which side finished the stronger over the ninety minutes. Traders are assessing the relative likelihood that Brazil or Japan registers the closing goal, weighing each side's attacking threat, finishing tendencies, and game-state management against the chance that the contest stays goalless.
-
Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market has three outcomes — Brazil, Japan, and Tie. It resolves to Brazil if the final goal of the match (as defined in Rule 2) is credited to Brazil, and to Japan if the final goal is credited to Japan. It resolves to Tie if no goals are scored in regulation (a 0-0 scoreline at the end of regulation time); in the event of a Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share.
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Definition of "Last Goal": "The match" means the 90 minutes of regulation play plus any added stoppage time only; extra time and any penalty shootout are excluded. The last goal is the chronologically final goal credited in the official match record within that period. An own goal counts toward the opposing team's score, so the last goal is credited to the team that benefits from it regardless of which player put the ball into the net. A goal scored from a penalty kick taken during regulation counts; penalty-shootout goals are not goals for this market.
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Official Sources and Evidence: Primary source: the official FIFA match report and statistics (fifa.com), corroborated by the Sportmonks (https://www.sportmonks.com/). Secondary sources for corroboration: ESPN, BBC Sport, Soccerway, and FlashScore. The official FIFA match report is the definitive record in the event of any discrepancy.
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Resolution Timing: The market resolves no sooner than 3 hours after the official final result and goal record are confirmed on the listed sources. Trading closes at the market end date (EndDate) and all open positions are locked through to resolution.
-
Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed, suspended, or abandoned before regulation is completed, the market remains open while the fixture is given the chance to be completed within the tournament schedule (postponements accommodated up to 30 days past the scheduled start). If no eligible completed regulation result exists after the 12-hour waiting period and the fixture is not subsequently completed, or the match is cancelled, the market resolves to Tie and all positions settle at $0.50 per share. Partial scores from an abandoned match are ignored unless the fixture is officially resumed and completed.
-
Ambiguities and Disputes: Where reports of the goal sequence or scorers conflict, the official FIFA match report takes precedence, corroborated by the Highlightly.net API. If the primary source is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of at least two secondary sources is used. Any goal under active official review (including VAR adjudication) is resolved according to the final official record.
