This market centers on whether Canada will finish in the top three overall at the 2026 Winter Olympics, based on the official medal standings. The question reflects expectations around Canada’s performance across a wide range of winter sports, where success depends on athlete depth, medal efficiency, and consistency across events. Traders are weighing factors such as Canada’s historical Olympic results, strength in key disciplines, roster depth, and competitive pressure from other leading nations to assess whether Canada can secure a top-three finish at the Games.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria:
   This market resolves to YES if Canada finishes 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in the official final medal table of the 2026 Winter Olympics. It resolves to NO if Canada finishes 4th or lower. There is no TIE outcome in this market; it resolves only to YES or NO.

2. Definition of “Rank”:
   For the purposes of this market, “rank” refers to Canada’s overall position in the official Olympic medal standings, not to total medals alone, gold medals alone, or rankings within individual sports or disciplines.

3. Medal Table Ordering Rule:
   Overall rankings are determined according to the IOC-standard medal hierarchy:

• Gold medals

• Silver medals

• Bronze medals
  If two or more nations remain tied after all three criteria, the official IOC final ranking is used.

4. Official Sources and Evidence:
   Resolution is based solely on the official final medal standings published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC) or the official 2026 Winter Olympics website. Secondary sources (e.g., major sports media) may be used only for confirmation and cannot override official IOC data.

5. Finality of Results:
   The market resolves using the final medal table at the official close of the Games. Medal reallocations, disqualifications, or appeals announced after market resolution do not affect the outcome unless the IOC officially revises the final standings before resolution occurs.

6. Resolution Timing:
   The market resolves as soon as reasonably practical after the IOC publishes the final official medal table following the conclusion of the 2026 Winter Olympics, and no later than 00:00 UTC on February 21, 2026, if final standings are available by then.

7. Edge Cases and Ambiguities:
   If events are cancelled, reduced, or rescheduled, resolution still follows the official IOC medal table. In cases of conflicting or unclear information, priority is given to IOC-published standings, and unresolved ambiguities are decided according to the IOC’s official determinations.