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Will Canada win men’s Olympic hockey gold?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on whether Canada will win the gold medal in men’s ice hockey at the Olympic Games. The question reflects expectations around Canada’s performance in one of the Winter Olympics’ most prominent and competitive events, where outcomes depend on roster strength, player availability, tournament format, and matchups against other top hockey nations. Traders are weighing factors such as Canada’s historical Olympic success, potential NHL player participation, team depth, and competition from traditional rivals to assess whether Canada can secure the gold medal in men’s ice hockey.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if Canada is officially awarded the gold medal in men’s ice hockey at the relevant Olympic Games prior to 3:00 AM UTC on February 23, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if Canada wins silver, bronze, does not medal, or if any other nation is officially declared the gold medalist. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
  2. Definition of “Gold Medal”: “Gold medal” means Canada is officially declared the champion of the men’s ice hockey tournament in the final published Olympic standings. The determination is based solely on the official final ranking of the tournament.
  3. Authoritative Sources and Evidence: Resolution is based on the official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC) and/or the official Olympic Games website. Secondary sports media sources may be used only for confirmation and may not override official IOC records.
  4. Tie-Breaking, Overtime, and Shootouts: Any overtime, shootout, or tie-breaking procedures are governed by official Olympic tournament rules. The market resolves according to the final winner as officially declared, regardless of how the championship game is decided.
  5. Event Postponement or Cancellation: If the men’s ice hockey tournament is postponed but subsequently completed, the market resolves based on the completed tournament’s official results. If the tournament is cancelled and no gold medal is awarded, the market is voided.
  6. Disqualifications and Medal Reallocation: Resolution is based on the official final medal standings as published at the conclusion of the Games. Later medal reallocations or disqualifications after market resolution do not alter the outcome unless the IOC formally revises the official gold medal result before resolution.
  7. Resolution Timing and Finality: The market resolves once the IOC publishes the official final gold medal result for men’s ice hockey, and no later than 3:00 AM UTC on February 23, 2026, or as soon as reasonably practical thereafter. In cases of ambiguity or conflicting data, priority is given to official IOC publications.