This market centers on whether Citrea's officially launched token will achieve a Fully Diluted Valuation exceeding $350 million, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its public launch. As a Bitcoin layer-2 project built on ZK-proof technology, Citrea's token launch represents a discrete market debut event — with the FDV at the 24-hour mark serving as an early signal of how the market values the protocol's long-term potential within the Bitcoin scaling ecosystem. Traders are evaluating Citrea's technical traction, comparable L2 token valuations at launch, prevailing market conditions, and the protocol's positioning within the Bitcoin scaling narrative to assess whether the $350 million FDV threshold will be met at the designated resolution moment.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to YES if Citrea's official token has a Fully Diluted Valuation strictly greater than $350,000,000 USD at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's public launch. It resolves to NO if the FDV is $350,000,000 or below at that moment, if no qualifying token launch occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the token is not actively and publicly tradable at the resolution time. It resolves to Tie if no credible price or supply data is available from any liquid source at the resolution moment; in the event of a Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share.

2. Definition of Fully Diluted Valuation: FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the official launch. "Total token supply" refers to the maximum supply as disclosed by Citrea at or before launch. "Token price" is sourced from the most liquid trading venue available at the time of resolution.

3. Definition of "1 Day After Launch": "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's public launch.

4. Definition of Qualifying Token and Launch: Only an official token launched by Citrea (https://x.com/citrea_xyz) qualifies. Stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens do not qualify. The token must be actively and publicly tradable — available for open-market buying and selling — to be considered launched. Airdrop claims, locked allocations, or pre-market OTC activity do not constitute a qualifying launch.

5. Official Sources and Evidence: The resolution source is the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the day following launch, which may include centralized exchanges (e.g., Binance, Coinbase, OKX) or decentralized exchanges with verifiable on-chain liquidity. CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap maybe used as secondary references for total supply figures. If multiple sources report materially different prices, the source with the highest verified trading volume at resolution time takes precedence.

6. Resolution Timing: The market resolves as soon as reasonably practical after 4:00 PM ET (20:00 UTC) on May 31, 2026, once price and supply data are confirmed from the primary source. If Citrea does not launch a qualifying token by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to NO.

7. Ambiguities and Disputes: If there is ambiguity as to whether a token is the official Citrea token, the resolver will refer to official communications from Citrea's verified accounts (https://x.com/citrea_xyz) and official website. If the token launches but trading is halted, paused, or restricted at 4:00 PM ET on the resolution day, the resolver will use the last available publicly traded price prior to the halt. Any remaining ambiguities are resolved in a manner most consistent with the market's original intent as stated in these rules.