Will Elon Musk tag Donald Trump in a post on X in November?
About Market
Market Summary
This market predicts whether Elon Musk will tag Donald Trump in a post on X (formerly Twitter) during November 2025. The market resolves based on official posts made from Musk’s verified X account and confirmed through reputable media outlets if necessary. The event window covers the entire month of November 2025, and verification relies on direct evidence from X or trusted secondary news sources.
Rules
- Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market resolves to YES if Elon Musk tags Donald Trump (using “@realdonaldtrump”) in any original post, reply, or quote post on X (formerly Twitter) between November 1, 2025, 00:00 UTC and November 30, 2025, 23:59 UTC. It resolves to NO if no such post is made within the specified period. Only posts originating from Musk’s verified X account qualify for resolution.
- Measurement Basis: Verification is based on publicly visible posts from Musk’s official X account. Deleted posts still qualify if confirmed by any of the approved primary or secondary sources within the valid time window. Reposts, replies, or quote posts count only if they directly tag @realdonaldtrump.
- Eligible Resolution Timing: The market may resolve early if a qualifying post is confirmed before November 30, 2025. If no such post is confirmed, final resolution occurs after the event window ends, no later than December 2, 2025, 23:59 UTC.
- Data Sources:
Primary: Elon Musk’s verified X account (https://x.com/elonmusk), Donald Trump’s verified X account (https://x.com/realdonaldtrump).\ Secondary (verification only): Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC. - Resolution in Edge Cases:
If a qualifying post is later deleted, it still counts if verified by any primary or secondary source during the event window. If multiple posts are claimed, the earliest verified occurrence determines resolution. Screenshots or unverified third-party claims are not valid without corroboration from the listed sources. - Discrepancies: Conflicting reports are resolved using Musk’s official X account as the final authority. Secondary sources are used only for verification or clarification when direct platform data is unavailable.
Will Elon Musk tag Donald Trump in a post on X in November?
About Market
Market Summary
This market predicts whether Elon Musk will tag Donald Trump in a post on X (formerly Twitter) during November 2025. The market resolves based on official posts made from Musk’s verified X account and confirmed through reputable media outlets if necessary. The event window covers the entire month of November 2025, and verification relies on direct evidence from X or trusted secondary news sources.
Rules
- Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market resolves to YES if Elon Musk tags Donald Trump (using “@realdonaldtrump”) in any original post, reply, or quote post on X (formerly Twitter) between November 1, 2025, 00:00 UTC and November 30, 2025, 23:59 UTC. It resolves to NO if no such post is made within the specified period. Only posts originating from Musk’s verified X account qualify for resolution.
- Measurement Basis: Verification is based on publicly visible posts from Musk’s official X account. Deleted posts still qualify if confirmed by any of the approved primary or secondary sources within the valid time window. Reposts, replies, or quote posts count only if they directly tag @realdonaldtrump.
- Eligible Resolution Timing: The market may resolve early if a qualifying post is confirmed before November 30, 2025. If no such post is confirmed, final resolution occurs after the event window ends, no later than December 2, 2025, 23:59 UTC.
- Data Sources:
Primary: Elon Musk’s verified X account (https://x.com/elonmusk), Donald Trump’s verified X account (https://x.com/realdonaldtrump).\ Secondary (verification only): Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC. - Resolution in Edge Cases:
If a qualifying post is later deleted, it still counts if verified by any primary or secondary source during the event window. If multiple posts are claimed, the earliest verified occurrence determines resolution. Screenshots or unverified third-party claims are not valid without corroboration from the listed sources. - Discrepancies: Conflicting reports are resolved using Musk’s official X account as the final authority. Secondary sources are used only for verification or clarification when direct platform data is unavailable.
