This market centers on whether the price of gold futures will reach a specified threshold before the end of April 8, which serves as the defining temporal milestone for the evaluation period. The cutoff date functions as a clear boundary that distinguishes qualifying price movements within the relevant trading window from those occurring after it, anchoring all observations within that timeframe. Traders are assessing whether gold market dynamics will drive prices to the specified level relative to that milestone, weighing macroeconomic indicators, interest rate expectations, inflation trends, and safe-haven demand to determine whether the threshold will be reached before the cutoff.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market applies to settlement prices published from market open through 23:59 UTC April 8, 2026. It resolves to “YES” if the official settlement price of the Active Month CME Gold (GC) futures contract is equal to or greater than $4,750.00 USD on any eligible trading day on or before 23:59:59 UTC April 8, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if the settlement price does not reach $4,750.00 USD within this defined period. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
2. Definition of Gold Price and Contract: “Gold” refers to CME Gold (GC) futures quoted in USD. The relevant contract is the Active Month (front month), defined as the nearest designated delivery-cycle month that is not the spot month, as determined by CME Group. Only the contract qualifying as Active Month on the relevant trading day is used.
3. Active Month Roll Handling: If the Active Month contract rolls during the evaluation period, the next eligible contract automatically becomes the Active Month for purposes of these rules. All determinations are made using the contract that qualifies as Active Month on the specific settlement date.
4. Trigger Condition and Price Metric: A price level is considered “hit” only if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month contract is equal to or greater than $4,750.00 USD. Intraday highs, lows, last trades, bid/ask quotes, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not qualify.
5. Authoritative Source and Data Finality: Resolution is based exclusively on official settlement prices published by CME Group. Settlement prices are considered final as first published for the relevant trading day; later corrections or revisions do not alter the outcome unless the original value is formally withdrawn before resolution.
6. Non-Trading Days and Deadline: Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price are considered; weekends and holidays without settlement publication are excluded. If no qualifying settlement occurs on or before 23:59:59 UTC April 8, 2026, the market resolves to “NO.”
7. Resolution Timing: The market may resolve early as soon as a qualifying settlement at or above $4,750.00 USD is published. If no such settlement occurs, the market resolves as soon as reasonably practical after the final eligible settlement price prior to the deadline is available.