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Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on whether Leonardo DiCaprio will win Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars before the official results of the ceremony are finalized. The Academy Awards serve as a definitive milestone in the film industry calendar, with the Best Actor category representing one of the most prominent individual honors presented during the event. Traders are assessing whether the formal announcement of the 2026 winners will include Leonardo DiCaprio as the recipient of this award, turning the ceremony’s outcome into a clear, event-based determination tied to the Oscars broadcast.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if Leonardo DiCaprio is officially declared the winner of the Academy Award for Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars. It resolves to “NO” if another nominee is declared the winner, if he is not nominated, or if he does not receive the award for any reason. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
  2. Definition of Winning: “Win” means being formally announced as the recipient of the Academy Award for Best Actor during the official 2026 Oscars ceremony and reflected in the Academy’s official published results.
  3. Official Sources and Evidence: Resolution is based exclusively on official results published or announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, including its official website and official ceremony broadcast. Reputable media sources may be used only for confirmation.
  4. Postponement or Ceremony Changes: If the 2026 Oscars ceremony is postponed but later held, resolution is based on the completed ceremony. If the Best Actor category is cancelled and no winner is declared, the market resolves to “NO.”
  5. Disqualifications and Revisions: Resolution is based on the official winner as declared by the Academy. Subsequent controversies, appeals, or public disputes do not alter the outcome unless the Academy formally revises the official result before 00:00 UTC March 15, 2026.
  6. Resolution Timing: The market resolves as soon as reasonably practical after the official Best Actor winner is publicly announced, and in all cases no later than 00:00 UTC March 15, 2026.