This market predicts whether Logan Paul’s Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator card, graded PSA 10, will sell for over $7 million in its next public transaction or auction. The card is widely regarded as one of the rarest and most valuable Pokémon collectibles, and its sale price reflects both the high-end trading card market and broader collector demand. Traders are weighing factors such as market trends, recent record sales, and the card’s provenance in estimating whether it will surpass this seven-figure milestone.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market resolves to Yes if, on or before 28 February 2026 at 23:59:59 UTC, the specific Goldin listing identified in the Specific Rules shows a final listed sale price strictly greater than 7,000,000.00 USD for Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pikachu Illustrator card, including any buyer’s premium or auction fees that Goldin includes in that displayed figure. The market resolves to No if, by that time, the card’s final listed sale price on that Goldin listing is less than or equal to 7,000,000.00 USD, or if no sale is completed and no final sale price is listed. There is no TIE outcome in this market; it resolves only to Yes or No.
2. Definition of “Final Listed Sale Price” and Scope: For this market, “final listed sale price” means the single headline price shown by Goldin on the relevant item page once the transaction is marked as successfully sold/closed, inclusive of any buyer’s premium or auction fees that Goldin incorporates into that headline figure. Only that specific Goldin listing for Logan Paul’s personally owned 1998 Pokémon Japanese CoroCoro Promo Pikachu Illustrator graded PSA 10 counts; private sales, other platforms, or different copies of the card are not considered.
3. Currency and Threshold Interpretation: The threshold is interpreted as strictly greater than 7,000,000.00 USD; a final listed sale price of exactly 7,000,000.00 USD resolves the market to No. If Goldin displays the final sale price in another currency but also provides an official USD figure on the same item page, the USD figure displayed by Goldin is used; no external FX conversions are applied.
4. Official Sources and Evidence: The primary source is the official Goldin item page for the specific listing referenced in the Specific Rules, including its final “sold” status and displayed sale price. Secondary sources (such as major news outlets, Logan Paul’s or Goldin’s public announcements, or other collectibles data sites) may be used only to clarify timing or confirm that a displayed figure refers to the completed sale in question, but cannot override a clear, later-dated price or status shown on the Goldin page.
5. Resolution Timing and Multiple Auctions/Relistings: The market will normally be resolved as soon as reasonably practical after 28 February 2026 23:59:59 UTC, once the Goldin listing’s final status and price (if any) as of that time are clear. If the card is listed, fails to sell (e.g., reserve not met), and is later relisted on the same item page before the deadline, the resolver uses whatever final sale status and price (if any) are displayed on that same page as of the deadline; if the page shows no completed sale and no final sale price by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
6. Cancellations, Revisions, and Ambiguities: If Goldin initially displays a sale price but later clearly revises the same item page to show that the sale was cancelled or voided (e.g., no longer marked as sold, or price removed) before the market’s end date, the resolver uses the latest clearly indicated status and price on that page as of the deadline. In cases of conflicting or ambiguous information between Goldin and secondary sources, the clear, later-dated Goldin item page controls; in any remaining borderline case, the resolver applies these rules to determine whether, as of 28 February 2026 23:59:59 UTC, a reasonable, well-informed observer would conclude that the final listed sale price for that Goldin listing was or was not over 7,000,000.00 USD.