Foresight Logo

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on whether MrBeast’s million-dollar puzzle challenge will be officially solved before the reference milestone of March 15, a cutoff that defines the window for participants to complete the high-profile contest. The deadline functions as a focal point for a widely publicized internet competition in which the creator’s large audience closely follows progress, updates, and claims of success surrounding the challenge. Traders are assessing whether an officially recognized solution will occur in time relative to that milestone, weighing public signals, participant activity, and announcement patterns to determine if the completion will be formally confirmed before the cutoff.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “Yes” if MrBeast’s million-dollar puzzle challenge is officially confirmed as solved before 00:00 UTC March 15, 2026 and the solver is declared eligible to receive the million-dollar prize. It resolves to “No” if the puzzle is not officially confirmed as solved by that time or if it is solved but the solver is declared ineligible to receive the prize.
  2. Definition of “Officially Confirmed Solved”: A puzzle is considered officially confirmed as solved only if MrBeast or his authorized representatives explicitly state that the challenge has been successfully completed and that a winner has earned the million-dollar prize. Statements implying progress, partial completion, or unverified claims do not qualify.
  3. Official Sources and Evidence: Resolution is based exclusively on official statements published by MrBeast or his verified representatives, including official social media accounts, official videos, press releases, or other verified communication channels. Secondary reporting may be used for confirmation but cannot override direct official statements.
  4. Resolution Timing: The market will be resolved as soon as reasonably practical after 00:00 UTC March 15, 2026, once it is clear from official statements whether the puzzle was officially confirmed as solved before the cutoff.
  5. Ambiguities and Disputes: If there is conflicting or unclear information regarding whether the puzzle was solved, whether the solver qualified for the prize, or the timing of the confirmation, later-dated and more explicit official statements from MrBeast or his authorized representatives take precedence. In unresolved edge cases, these rules will be applied to determine whether the outcome satisfies the criteria for “Yes” or “No.”