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Will SatsumaDEX exceed $3M TVL on Citrea before April 30?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on whether SatsumaDEX will surpass a specified total value locked threshold before the end of April, using that threshold breach as the defining reference event. The approach to the April 30 cutoff serves as a temporal milestone, marking the end of the observation window during which changes in total value locked are evaluated against the defined level. Traders are assessing whether growth in protocol usage and capital inflows will drive SatsumaDEX’s total value locked beyond the specified threshold relative to that cutoff, weighing network activity, liquidity incentives, and broader DeFi market conditions to determine whether the milestone will be reached within the defined timeframe.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if the Total Value Locked (TVL) of SatsumaDEX, as reported on DefiLlama, is strictly greater than $3,000,000 USD at any time on or before 23:59 UTC April 29, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if no such qualifying TVL value is recorded by that deadline. A value equal to $3,000,000 USD does not qualify. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
  2. Definition of Total Value Locked (TVL): “TVL” refers to the total USD value of all assets deposited or locked within the SatsumaDEX protocol, as calculated and displayed by DefiLlama. Only the aggregated TVL figure shown for SatsumaDEX on DefiLlama is considered; protocol-specific breakdowns or third-party calculations do not qualify.
  3. Eligible Measurement and Threshold Trigger: The condition is satisfied if the publicly displayed TVL on the DefiLlama SatsumaDEX page exceeds $3,000,000 USD at any observed update within the eligible period. Historical charts, snapshots, or recorded peaks on the same page may be used to confirm that the threshold was reached.
  4. Official Sources and Evidence: The sole authoritative source for resolution is the SatsumaDEX page on DefiLlama (https://defillama.com/protocol/satsuma). Secondary analytics platforms may be used for corroboration but cannot override DefiLlama’s displayed data.
  5. Handling Data Updates and Revisions: The market resolves based on the TVL value as first displayed when the threshold is crossed. Subsequent revisions or recalculations do not alter the outcome unless DefiLlama removes or corrects the data prior to resolution.
  6. Resolution Timing: The market may resolve immediately once a qualifying TVL above $3,000,000 USD is observed. If no such value occurs, the market resolves to “NO” as soon as reasonably practical after 23:59 UTC April 29, 2026.
  7. Ambiguities and Disputes: In cases of ambiguity regarding TVL values or timing, the DefiLlama displayed data and historical records take precedence. Any remaining uncertainty is resolved based on the most consistent interpretation of DefiLlama’s published data for SatsumaDEX.