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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $425 by end of March?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on whether Tesla’s share price will record a daily close above $425 before the end of March, placing that price threshold in direct comparison with the calendar month as the reference milestone. The end of March serves as a defined temporal boundary that frames Tesla’s short-term price trajectory within a fixed period of trading activity. Traders are evaluating whether a qualifying close above $425 will occur before that month concludes, making the sequence between a decisive price level and the March endpoint the core focus of the market.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market resolves to “YES” if the official Nasdaq closing price of Tesla, Inc. (ticker: TSLA) is strictly greater than $425.00 USD on any trading day on or before 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026. It resolves to “NO” if no official Nasdaq closing price exceeds $425.00 USD by 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026. There is no TIE outcome in this market.
  2. Definition of Closing Price: “Closing price” refers exclusively to the official daily closing price for TSLA as published by Nasdaq following the end of regular trading hours (normally 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time). After-hours, pre-market, intraday highs, bid/ask quotes, or unofficial indicative prices do not qualify.
  3. Official Sources and Evidence: Resolution is based primarily on the official Nasdaq closing price for TSLA. Yahoo Finance or TradingView historical daily close data may be used for secondary verification but cannot override Nasdaq’s official published figure in the event of discrepancy.
  4. Resolution Timing: The market is reviewed after each eligible Nasdaq trading day through March 31, 2026. If a qualifying close above $425.00 USD occurs, the market resolves as soon as reasonably practical thereafter; otherwise, it resolves to “NO” after the final Nasdaq trading day on or before March 31, 2026.
  5. Non-Trading Days and Extraordinary Events: Only days on which Nasdaq publishes an official closing price for TSLA are considered valid observation days. Weekends, market holidays, trading halts, or exchange-wide suspensions do not create additional observation opportunities beyond officially published closing prices.
  6. Data Revisions and Corporate Actions: The official closing price as first published by Nasdaq for the relevant trading day is considered final for resolution purposes. If Nasdaq formally revises the closing price prior to market resolution, the revised value governs. In the event of stock splits or similar corporate actions before March 31, 2026, the officially adjusted closing price published by Nasdaq will be used.