This market centers on whether a K-pop music video uploaded during April 2026 will reach a specified view-count milestone on YouTube before the end of that same month, with the month’s conclusion serving as the defining temporal reference point. The end of April functions as a cutoff that restricts both eligible uploads and qualifying view-count achievements to a single promotional window, ensuring that only videos released within this period are considered. Traders are assessing whether newly released content during this timeframe can generate sufficient audience engagement and streaming momentum to reach the milestone before the cutoff, weighing release timing, fanbase activity, and historical performance patterns.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to “YES” if any qualifying K-pop music video that is uploaded between 00:00 UTC April 1, 2026 and 23:59 UTC April 30, 2026 reaches 100,000,000 or more views on YouTube within that same timeframe. It resolves to “NO” if no such qualifying video meets both the upload window requirement and the view-count threshold within this period. There is no TIE outcome in this market.

2. Definition of Qualifying Music Video: A qualifying video must be an official K-pop music video uploaded to YouTube by the artist’s or official company channel, and the original upload timestamp must fall within the period from 00:00 UTC April 1, 2026 to 23:59 UTC April 30, 2026. Videos uploaded before or after this window do not qualify under any circumstances, regardless of when they reach the view threshold. Re-uploads, mirrored content, lyric videos, performance clips, teasers, or unofficial uploads do not qualify.

3. Definition of View Count Threshold: The qualifying condition is met only if the video’s public YouTube view counter displays ≥100,000,000 views within the same April 1–April 30, 2026 window. The timestamp is determined based on when the threshold is first reached within this defined period.

4. Official Sources and Evidence: The primary source for resolution is the YouTube public video page, including the official upload date and displayed view count. YouTube is the authoritative data source; secondary reporting may be used for confirmation but cannot override platform data.

5. Handling Timing and Edge Cases:

   -Videos uploaded before April 1, 2026 or after April 30, 2026 do not qualify, even if they reach 100M views within the window.

   -Videos uploaded within the window but reaching 100M after April 30, 2026 do not qualify.

   -Both the upload timing and view milestone timing must occur within the defined period.

6. Resolution Timing: The market will be resolved as soon as reasonably practical after 23:59 UTC April 30, 2026, once it is clear whether any qualifying video satisfied both conditions within the observation window.

7. Ambiguities and Disputes: In cases of ambiguity regarding upload timing, video classification, or view count progression, YouTube-displayed data (upload timestamp and view counter) takes precedence. Any remaining disputes will be resolved using the most consistent interpretation of official YouTube records.