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Will less than 2 goals be scored during USA vs Paraguay match?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on the goal output of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D opener between the United States and Paraguay at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, the tournament's marquee fixture for the co-host nation. As the USMNT's first match of a home World Cup, the contest draws heightened scrutiny, and the total number of goals serves as a clean barometer of whether the game becomes an open, end-to-end affair or a cagey, low-scoring tournament opener. Traders are assessing the likelihood that the combined scoreline stays beneath the two-goal mark, weighing both sides' attacking intent, defensive organization, and the conservative patterns frequently observed in opening group-stage fixtures where neither side wants to lose first.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market resolves YES if the combined number of goals scored by both teams is fewer than two — i.e., a final combined tally of 0 or 1. It resolves NO if two or more total goals are scored (2, 3, 4, or higher). There is no Draw/Tie outcome for the goal count itself; a Tie applies only under the postponement and cancellation conditions below.
  2. Definition of "Less Than Two Goals": The threshold counts the combined number of goals scored by the United States and Paraguay — including own goals — recorded in the official match record during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus any referee-added stoppage time. "Less than two" means strictly fewer than two, i.e., a combined total of 0 or 1; a tally of exactly 2 resolves NO. As a FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture resolved under 90-minute rules, no extra time or penalty shootout is played, and no such goals can occur.
  3. Official Sources and Evidence: Primary source: Highlightly.net API (https://highlightly.net/) for the official scoreline and goal data. Secondary sources for corroboration: ESPN, BBC Sport, and the official FIFA website (fifa.com). The official FIFA match report is the definitive record in the event of any discrepancy.
  4. Resolution Timing: Trading stops at the scheduled kickoff time of 01:00 UTC on June 13, 2026 (see Trading Deadline). The market resolves after the official full-time result is posted on Highlightly.net.
  5. Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed, suspended, cancelled, or abandoned before completion, the market remains open during a 12-hour waiting period to allow the fixture to be completed. If the match is delayed more than 12 hours past the scheduled kickoff with no eligible finished result, the market resolves to Tie at $0.50 per share. Partial scores from an abandoned match are ignored unless the fixture is officially resumed and completed within that window.
  6. Ambiguities and Disputes: Own goals count toward the combined goal tally regardless of which side they are credited to. In the event of conflicting scoreline reports between sources, the official FIFA match report takes precedence. If the primary source (Highlightly.net) is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of at least two secondary sources is used. Any result under active official protest or review remains unresolved until FIFA issues a final ruling.
  7. Trading Deadline: Trading stops when the match starts. The deadline is the scheduled kickoff time of 01:00 UTC on June 13, 2026; no positions may be opened, increased, or closed after this point, regardless of any delay to the actual kickoff. All open positions are locked through to resolution.