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Will the last goal in the Germany vs Paraguay match be scored by an even or odd shirt number?

About Market

Market Summary

This market centers on the player who scores the final goal in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 fixture between Germany and Paraguay at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, with the parity of that scorer's shirt number standing as the outcome in focus. The closing goal is a meaningful focal point because the last player to find the net in a tense knockout is shaped by late substitutions, attacking personnel, and which positions push forward in the decisive phase, making the scorer's identity a small but telling signature of how the match finished. Traders are assessing whether the final scorer will wear an even or an odd shirt number, weighing squad numbering, likely goal threats, and rotation patterns against the chance that the contest ends goalless.

Rules
  1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market has three outcomes — Even, Odd, and Tie. It resolves to Even if the shirt number of the player credited with the last goal (as defined in Rule 2) is even (2, 4, 6, …), and to Odd if that shirt number is odd (1, 3, 5, …). It resolves to Tie if no goals are scored in regulation (a 0-0 scoreline at the end of regulation time); in the event of a Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share.

  2. Definition of "Last Goal" and "Shirt Number": "The match" means the 90 minutes of regulation play plus any added stoppage time only; extra time and any penalty shootout are excluded. The last goal is the chronologically final goal credited in the official match record within that period. The shirt (jersey) number used is that of the player officially credited with scoring the goal in the official FIFA match report; for an own goal, the number used is that of the player credited with the own goal (the player who put the ball into their own net). A goal scored from a penalty kick taken during regulation counts and uses the penalty taker's shirt number; penalty-shootout goals are not goals for this market.

  3. Official Sources and Evidence: Primary source: the official FIFA match report and statistics (fifa.com), including its scorer list and squad shirt-number list, corroborated by the Highlightly.net API (https://highlightly.net/). Secondary sources for corroboration: ESPN, BBC Sport, Soccerway, and FlashScore. The official FIFA match report is the definitive record of the scorer and shirt number in the event of any discrepancy.

  4. Resolution Timing: The market resolves no sooner than 3 hours after the official final result and goal record are confirmed on the listed sources. Trading closes at the market end date (EndDate) and all open positions are locked through to resolution.

  5. Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed, suspended, or abandoned before regulation is completed, the market remains open while the fixture is given the chance to be completed within the tournament schedule (postponements accommodated up to 30 days past the scheduled start). If no eligible completed regulation result exists after the 12-hour waiting period and the fixture is not subsequently completed, or the match is cancelled, the market resolves to Tie and all positions settle at $0.50 per share. Partial scores from an abandoned match are ignored unless the fixture is officially resumed and completed.

  6. Ambiguities and Disputes: Where reports of the scorer or shirt number conflict, the official FIFA match report takes precedence, corroborated by the Highlightly.net API. If the primary source is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of at least two secondary sources is used. Any goal under active official review (including VAR adjudication) is resolved according to the final official record.