This market centers on the number of shots on target recorded in the FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout-stage fixture between Belgium and Senegal at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, with the parity of the combined on-target count standing as the outcome in focus. The volume of shots on target is a meaningful focal point because it reflects how much clear goal-threat both teams generate, tying attacking intent, shooting accuracy, and goalkeeping workload into a single running tally over the course of the tie. Traders are assessing whether the combined number of shots on target will land on an even or an odd total, weighing each side's attacking output and shot selection against the inherent randomness of how individual efforts on goal accumulate over ninety minutes.

1. Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: The market has three outcomes — Even, Odd, and Tie. It resolves to Even if the combined number of shots on target (as defined in Rule 2) is a positive even number (2, 4, 6, …), and to Odd if the combined number is an odd number (1, 3, 5, …). It resolves to Tie if the combined number is zero; a total of zero is treated as Tie and not as Even. In the event of a Tie resolution, all positions settle at $0.50 per share.

2. Definition of "Shots on Target": The count is the combined number of shots on target recorded for both teams during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus any added stoppage time only; extra time and any penalty shootout are excluded. A shot on target is any goal attempt that results in a goal or that would have entered the goal but for being saved by the goalkeeper or cleared off the goal line by a defender, as recorded in the official FIFA match statistics. Attempts that go wide or over the bar, strike the woodwork without entering the goal, or are blocked by an outfield defender before reaching the goal are not counted. Own goals are not counted as shots on target. Because the definitive figure is the shots-on-target total published in the official FIFA match statistics, that figure governs resolution.

3. Official Sources and Evidence: Primary source: the official FIFA match report and statistics (fifa.com), corroborated by the Highlightly.net API (https://highlightly.net/). Secondary sources for corroboration: ESPN, BBC Sport, Soccerway, and FlashScore. Because shots-on-target definitions can vary between statistics providers, the official FIFA match statistics figure is definitive in the event of any discrepancy.

4. Resolution Timing: The market resolves after the official final match statistics are confirmed on the listed sources. Trading closes at the market end date (EndDate) and all open positions are locked through to resolution.

5. Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed, suspended, or abandoned before regulation is completed, the market remains open while the fixture is given the chance to be completed within the tournament schedule (postponements accommodated up to 30 days past the scheduled start). If no eligible completed regulation result exists after the 12-hour waiting period and the fixture is not subsequently completed, or the match is cancelled, the market resolves to Tie and all positions settle at $0.50 per share. Partial statistics from an abandoned match are ignored unless the fixture is officially resumed and completed.

6. Ambiguities and Disputes: Where shots-on-target counts differ between sources, the official FIFA match statistics take precedence, corroborated by the Highlightly.net API. If the primary source is unavailable at resolution time, a consensus of at least two secondary sources is used. Any statistic under active official review or correction is resolved according to the final official record.